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business-health-diagnostic

by @deanpetersv1.0.0
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Diagnose SaaS health, identify red flags, and prioritize recovery actions

SaaS MetricsBusiness DiagnosticsProduct StrategyGrowth HackingFinancial HealthGitHub
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npx skills add deanpeters/Product-Manager-Skills --skill business-health-diagnostic
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name: business-health-diagnostic description: Diagnose SaaS business health across growth, retention, efficiency, and capital. Use when preparing a business review or prioritizing urgent fixes. intent: >- Diagnose overall SaaS business health by analyzing growth, retention, unit economics, and capital efficiency metrics together. Use this to identify problems early, prioritize actions by urgency, and deliver a comprehensive health scorecard for board meetings, quarterly reviews, or fundraising preparation. type: interactive theme: finance-metrics best_for:

  • "Getting a complete read on your SaaS business health across all dimensions"
  • "Identifying which metrics are red flags vs. leading indicators"
  • "Preparing for a board meeting or investor review" scenarios:
  • "Our growth is strong but we're burning cash fast — I need to understand our unit economics before the board meeting"
  • "I'm preparing for a Series A board meeting and need to assess our business health across growth, retention, and efficiency" estimated_time: "20-30 min"

Purpose

Diagnose overall SaaS business health by analyzing growth, retention, unit economics, and capital efficiency metrics together. Use this to identify problems early, prioritize actions by urgency, and deliver a comprehensive health scorecard for board meetings, quarterly reviews, or fundraising preparation.

This is not a single-metric check—it's a holistic diagnostic that connects revenue, retention, economics, and efficiency to reveal systemic issues and opportunities.

Key Concepts

The Business Health Framework

A SaaS business is healthy when four dimensions work together:

  1. Growth & Retention — Are you growing and keeping customers?

    • Revenue growth rate
    • NRR (Net Revenue Retention)
    • Churn rate
    • Quick Ratio
  2. Unit Economics — Is the business model profitable at the customer level?

    • CAC (Customer Acquisition Cost)
    • LTV (Lifetime Value)
    • LTV:CAC ratio
    • Payback period
    • Gross margin
  3. Capital Efficiency — Are you using cash efficiently?

    • Burn rate
    • Runway
    • Rule of 40
    • Magic Number
  4. Strategic Position — Are you positioned for sustainable success?

    • Market positioning (below, at, above market pricing)
    • Competitive moat (network effects, data, brand)
    • Revenue concentration risk
    • Operating leverage

Stage-Specific Benchmarks

Early Stage (Pre-$10M ARR):

  • Focus: Product-market fit, unit economics
  • Growth: >50% YoY
  • LTV:CAC: >3:1
  • Gross Margin: >70%
  • Runway: >12 months
  • Acceptable: Negative margins, high burn (if unit economics work)

Growth Stage ($10M-$50M ARR):

  • Focus: Scaling efficiently
  • Growth: >40% YoY
  • NRR: >100%
  • Rule of 40: >40
  • Magic Number: >0.75
  • Acceptable: Moderate burn if growth is strong

Scale Stage ($50M+ ARR):

  • Focus: Profitability, efficiency
  • Growth: >25% YoY
  • NRR: >110%
  • Rule of 40: >40
  • Profit Margin: >10%
  • Required: Positive or near-positive cash flow

Red Flag Categories

Critical (Fix immediately):

  • Runway <6 months
  • LTV:CAC <1.5:1
  • Churn accelerating cohort-over-cohort
  • NRR <90%
  • Magic Number <0.3

High Priority (Fix within quarter):

  • Rule of 40 <25
  • Payback >24 months
  • Quick Ratio <2
  • Gross margin <60%
  • Revenue concentration >50% in top 10 customers

Medium Priority (Address within 6 months):

  • NRR 90-100% (flat, not growing)
  • Magic Number 0.3-0.5
  • Operating leverage negative
  • Churn rate stable but high (>5% monthly)

Anti-Patterns (What This Is NOT)

  • Not a single metric: "Revenue is growing 50%, we're great!" (ignoring burn, churn, unit economics)
  • Not stage-agnostic: Early-stage burn is acceptable; scale-stage burn is a problem
  • Not static: Health is directional—are metrics improving or degrading?
  • Not just numbers: Context matters (competitive pressure, market changes, team capacity)

When to Use This Framework

Use this when:

  • Preparing for board meetings or investor updates
  • Quarterly business reviews (QBR)
  • Fundraising preparation (know your numbers)
  • Annual planning (identify improvement areas)
  • You suspect problems but can't pinpoint them
  • New PM/exec joining and needs health assessment

Don't use this when:

  • You're pre-revenue (focus on product-market fit first)
  • You're in pure research mode (not enough data)
  • You need tactical guidance (use specific skills: feature, channel, pricing)

Facilitation Source of Truth

Use workshop-facilitation as the default interaction protocol for this skill.

It defines:

  • session heads-up + entry mode (Guided, Context dump, Best guess)
  • one-question turns with plain-language prompts
  • progress labels (for example, Context Qx/8 and Scoring Qx/5)
  • interruption handling and pause/resume behavior
  • numbered recommendations at decision points
  • quick-select numbered response options for regular questions (include Other (specify) when useful)

This file defines the domain-specific assessment content. If there is a conflict, follow this file's domain logic.

Application

This interactive skill asks up to 4 adaptive questions, then delivers a comprehensive diagnostic with prioritized recommendations.


Step 0: Gather Context

Agent asks:

"Let's diagnose your business health. I'll need metrics across four dimensions: growth, retention, unit economics, and capital efficiency.

Company context:

  • Stage: (Pre-$10M ARR, $10M-$50M ARR, $50M+ ARR)
  • Business model: (PLG, sales-led, hybrid)
  • Target market: (SMB, mid-market, enterprise, mixed)

Why this matters: Benchmarks vary by stage. Early-stage optimizes for growth; scale-stage optimizes for efficiency.

Please provide the following metrics. Use 'unknown' if you don't have a metric."


Step 1: Growth & Retention Metrics

Agent asks:

"Growth & Retention:

  1. Revenue:

    • Current MRR or ARR: $___
    • Revenue growth rate: ___% (MoM or YoY)
  2. Retention:

    • Monthly churn rate: ___%
    • NRR (Net Revenue Retention): ___%
    • Quick Ratio: ___ (or I can calculate it)
  3. Expansion:

    • Expansion revenue as % of total MRR: ___%
  4. Cohort trends:

    • Are recent cohorts retaining better or worse than older cohorts?
      1. Better (improving)
      2. Same (stable)
      3. Worse (degrading)
      4. Unknown"

Based on answers, agent evaluates:

  • Healthy growth: Growth >40% YoY (growth stage) or >25% (scale stage)
  • Healthy retention: NRR >100%, churn <5% monthly, Quick Ratio >2
  • 🚨 Growth problems: Growth <20% YoY
  • 🚨 Retention problems: NRR <100%, churn >5%, cohort degradation

Step 2: Unit Economics Metrics

Agent asks:

"Unit Economics:

  1. Acquisition:

    • CAC (Customer Acquisition Cost): $___
    • Blended or by channel? (If by channel, what's your best channel CAC?)
  2. Value:

    • LTV (Lifetime Value): $___
    • LTV:CAC ratio: ___ (or I can calculate it)
    • Payback period: ___ months (or I can calculate it)
  3. Margins:

    • Gross margin: ___%
    • Contribution margin (if known): ___%
  4. Trends:

    • Is CAC increasing, stable, or decreasing over time?
      1. Decreasing (improving efficiency)
      2. Stable
      3. Increasing (diminishing returns)
      4. Unknown"

Based on answers, agent evaluates:

  • Healthy economics: LTV:CAC >3:1, payback <12 months, gross margin >70%
  • ⚠️ Marginal economics: LTV:CAC 2-3:1, payback 12-18 months
  • 🚨 Poor economics: LTV:CAC <2:1, payback >24 months, gross margin <60%

Step 3: Capital Efficiency Metrics

Agent asks:

"Capital Efficiency:

  1. Cash:

    • Cash balance: $___
    • Monthly net burn rate: $___
    • Runway: ___ months (or I can calculate it)
  2. Efficiency ratios:

    • Rule of 40: ___ (Growth % + Profit Margin %) (or I can calculate it)
    • Magic Number: ___ (S&M efficiency) (or I can calculate it)
  3. Operating expenses:

    • S&M as % of revenue: ___%
    • R&D as % of revenue: ___%
    • Is OpEx growing faster than revenue?
      1. No (positive operating leverage)
      2. Yes (negative operating leverage)
      3. Unknown
  4. Profitability:

    • Profit margin: ___%
    • Path to profitability: (already profitable, 6-12 months, 12-24 months, >24 months, unknown)"

Based on answers, agent evaluates:

  • Healthy efficiency: Rule of 40 >40, magic number >0.75, runway >12 months
  • ⚠️ Acceptable efficiency: Rule of 40 25-40, magic number 0.5-0.75, runway 6-12 months
  • 🚨 Poor efficiency: Rule of 40 <25, magic number <0.5, runway <6 months

Step 4: Deliver Comprehensive Diagnostic

Agent synthesizes all metrics and delivers:

  1. Overall Health Score — Healthy / Moderate / Concerning / Critical
  2. Dimension Scores — Growth, Retention, Economics, Efficiency
  3. Red Flags — Critical, High Priority, Medium Priority
  4. Prioritized Recommendations — Top 3-5 actions with expected impact
  5. Stage-Appropriate Benchmarks — How you compare to peers

Diagnostic Pattern 1: Healthy Business

When:

  • Growth, retention, economics, and efficiency all meet stage-appropriate benchmarks
  • No critical red flags
  • Improving trends

Output:

"## ✅ Overall Health: Healthy

Your business shows strong fundamentals across all dimensions.


Health Scorecard

| Dimension | Score | Status | |-----------|-------|--------| | Growth & Retention | ✅ Healthy | Growth ___% YoY, NRR ___%, Churn ___% | | Unit Economics | ✅ Healthy | LTV:CAC ___:1, Payback ___ months | | Capital Efficiency | ✅ Healthy | Rule of 40: ___, Runway ___ months | | Overall | ✅ Healthy | Strong position for scaling |


Key Strengths

  1. [Specific strength 1]

    • Metric: [e.g., NRR 120%]
    • Why it matters: [Expanding within base without new logos]
  2. [Specific strength 2]

    • Metric: [e.g., LTV:CAC 5:1]
    • Why it matters: [Sustainable unit economics support scaling]
  3. [Specific strength 3]

    • Metric: [e.g., Rule of 40 = 65]
    • Why it matters: [Excellent balance of growth and efficiency]

Opportunities for Optimization

Even healthy businesses can improve. Here are your top opportunities:

1. [Opportunity 1]

  • Current: [e.g., Magic Number 0.9]
  • Opportunity: [Could scale S&M spend 2x and maintain efficiency]
  • Impact: [+$___ MRR/month]

2. [Opportunity 2]

  • Current: [e.g., Expansion revenue 15% of total]
  • Opportunity: [Build upsell paths, target 25% expansion revenue]
  • Impact: [NRR 110% → 120%]

3. [Opportunity 3]

  • Current: [e.g., CAC $500, stable]
  • Opportunity: [Improve conversion, reduce CAC to $400]
  • Impact: [Faster payback, better LTV:CAC]

Recommended Actions (Next Quarter)

Priority 1: Scale what's working

  • [e.g., Double content marketing budget (best channel)]
  • Expected impact: [+___ customers/month, +$___ MRR]

Priority 2: Expand within base

  • [e.g., Launch premium tier for 20% of customers]
  • Expected impact: [NRR 110% → 115%]

Priority 3: Improve efficiency

  • [e.g., Optimize paid acquisition (reduce CAC 10%)]
  • Expected impact: [Payback 8mo → 7mo]

Monitor These Metrics

Weekly:

  • NRR (should stay >___%)
  • Churn rate (should stay <___%)
  • Quick Ratio (should stay >___)

Monthly:

  • Rule of 40 (should stay >___)
  • Magic Number (should stay >___)
  • LTV:CAC (should stay >___:1)

Quarterly:

  • Cohort retention trends
  • Revenue concentration risk
  • Operating leverage

Benchmarks (Your Stage: [Growth/Scale])

| Metric | Your Performance | Benchmark | Status | |--------|------------------|-----------|--------| | Growth Rate | ___% | >40% (growth) / >25% (scale) | ✅ | | NRR | ___% | >100% | ✅ | | LTV:CAC | ___:1 | >3:1 | ✅ | | Rule of 40 | ___ | >40 | ✅ | | Gross Margin | ___% | >70% | ✅ |

You're performing at or above benchmarks across the board."


Diagnostic Pattern 2: Moderate Health (Fixable Issues)

When:

  • Most metrics acceptable, but 1-2 dimensions have problems
  • Medium-priority red flags
  • Solvable with focus

Output:

"## ⚠️ Overall Health: Moderate (Fixable Issues)

Your business has good fundamentals but needs attention in [specific dimension].


Health Scorecard

| Dimension | Score | Status | |-----------|-------|--------| | Growth & Retention | [✅ / ⚠️ / 🚨] | [Details] | | Unit Economics | [✅ / ⚠️ / 🚨] | [Details] | | Capital Efficiency | [✅ / ⚠️ / 🚨] | [Details] | | Overall | ⚠️ Moderate | [Primary issue area] needs attention |


Red Flags Identified

High Priority 🚨

  1. [Specific red flag]
    • Metric: [e.g., NRR 95%]
    • Threshold: [Should be >100%]
    • Impact: [Base is contracting, not expanding]
    • Fix by: [End of quarter]

Medium Priority ⚠️

  1. [Specific issue]
    • Metric: [e.g., Magic Number 0.6]
    • Threshold: [Should be >0.75]
    • Impact: [S&M spend moderately efficient, room for improvement]
    • Fix by: [6 months]

Root Cause Analysis

Primary Issue: [e.g., Retention & Expansion]

Symptoms:

  • NRR 95% (should be >100%)
  • Churn rate 5% monthly (should be <3%)
  • Expansion revenue only 10% of MRR (should be 20-30%)

Diagnosis: [e.g., Customers are churning before they expand. Onboarding is weak, no clear upsell paths.]

Impact:

  • Lost MRR: [Calculate churn impact]
  • Missed expansion: [Calculate expansion opportunity]
  • Total impact: [Combined revenue loss]

Prioritized Action Plan

Immediate (Next 30 days):

1. Fix [Primary Issue]

  • Action: [Specific step, e.g., "Launch onboarding improvement program"]
  • Owner: [PM, Customer Success]
  • Target: [Reduce churn 5% → 4%]
  • Impact: [Save $___K MRR/month]

Short-term (Next Quarter):

2. [Secondary Action]

  • Action: [e.g., "Build premium tier for upsell"]
  • Target: [NRR 95% → 105%]
  • Impact: [+$___K expansion MRR]

3. [Tertiary Action]

  • Action: [e.g., "Optimize S&M spend, improve magic number"]
  • Target: [Magic Number 0.6 → 0.8]
  • Impact: [More efficient growth]

What Success Looks Like (90 Days)

Target metrics:

  • NRR: 95% → 105% (+10pp)
  • Churn: 5% → 3.5% (-30%)
  • Magic Number: 0.6 → 0.8 (+33%)

Impact:

  • Monthly revenue saved from churn: +$___K
  • Expansion revenue: +$___K
  • More efficient S&M: [details]

If you hit these targets, you'll be in 'Healthy' territory.


Monitor Weekly

Must-track metrics:

  • Churn rate (track to ensure it's decreasing)
  • NRR (track to ensure it's improving)
  • Customer feedback (are improvements working?)

Leading indicators:

  • Onboarding completion rate
  • Time-to-value
  • Usage metrics (activation, engagement)

What Not to Do

Don't:

  • Scale acquisition until retention is fixed (you'll just churn faster)
  • Ignore expansion (it's easier than new acquisition)
  • Wait too long (retention problems compound)"

Diagnostic Pattern 3: Concerning Health (Urgent Action Required)

When:

  • Multiple critical red flags
  • 2+ dimensions problematic
  • Requires immediate intervention

Output:

"## 🚨 Overall Health: Concerning (Urgent Action Required)

Your business has multiple critical issues that need immediate attention.


Health Scorecard

| Dimension | Score | Status | |-----------|-------|--------| | Growth & Retention | 🚨 Concerning | [Details] | | Unit Economics | 🚨 Concerning | [Details] | | Capital Efficiency | 🚨 Critical | [Details] | | Overall | 🚨 Concerning | Multiple urgent issues |


Critical Red Flags 🚨

1. [Critical Issue 1 - e.g., Runway]

  • Current: [6 months runway]
  • Threshold: [<6 months = crisis]
  • Impact: [Survival risk]
  • Action: [Raise capital OR cut burn immediately]
  • Timeline: [30 days]

2. [Critical Issue 2 - e.g., Unit Economics]

  • Current: [LTV:CAC 1.2:1]
  • Threshold: [<1.5:1 = unsustainable]
  • Impact: [Losing money on every customer]
  • Action: [Reduce CAC OR increase LTV]
  • Timeline: [60 days]

3. [Critical Issue 3 - e.g., Cohort Degradation]

  • Current: [Newer cohorts churning 2x faster than old]
  • Threshold: [Degrading PMF]
  • Impact: [Scaling makes problem worse]
  • Action: [Stop scaling, fix retention]
  • Timeline: [90 days]

Survival Plan (Next 90 Days)

Week 1-2: Triage

Immediate actions:

  1. Extend runway (if <6 months)

    • Option A: Raise bridge round ($___K)
    • Option B: Cut burn by ___%
    • Option C: Combination
    • Decision by: [Date]
  2. Stop scaling broken channels

    • Pause S&M spend on channels with LTV:CAC <2:1
    • Reallocate budget to [best-performing channel]
  3. Assemble crisis team

    • Daily standups on key metrics
    • Weekly progress reviews

Month 1: Stop the Bleeding

Priority 1: Fix Unit Economics

  • Current: LTV:CAC ___:1 (unsustainable)
  • Actions:
    1. Reduce CAC: [Specific tactics]
    2. Increase LTV: [Improve retention, add expansion]
  • Target: LTV:CAC >2:1 within 30 days

Priority 2: Improve Retention

  • Current: Churn ___% (too high)
  • Actions:
    1. Interview churned customers (identify top 3 reasons)
    2. Fix onboarding (reduce early churn)
    3. Proactive outreach to at-risk accounts
  • Target: Reduce churn by 20% within 30 days

Month 2-3: Stabilize

Milestone 1: Positive Unit Economics

  • LTV:CAC >2:1 ✅
  • Payback <18 months ✅
  • Gross margin >60% ✅

Milestone 2: Slowing Churn

  • Churn decreasing month-over-month
  • Cohort degradation stopped
  • NRR improving toward 100%

Milestone 3: Runway Extended

  • 12+ months runway (via fundraise or burn reduction)
  • Clear path to next milestone

What Success Looks Like (Day 90)

Metrics:

  • Runway: ___ months → 12+ months ✅
  • LTV:CAC: ___:1 → >2:1 ✅
  • Churn: ___% → reduced by 30% ✅
  • NRR: ___% → improving toward 100%

Position:

  • Out of crisis mode
  • Stable foundation to rebuild growth
  • Clear plan for next 6-12 months

What to Avoid

Don't:

  • Try to grow your way out of this (fix unit economics first)
  • Ignore the data (hope is not a strategy)
  • Scale before you fix retention (accelerates failure)
  • Wait until runway <3 months to fundraise (too late)

Do:

  • Focus ruthlessly on retention and unit economics
  • Cut costs to extend runway
  • Be honest with board/investors about problems
  • Move fast (you don't have time to waste)"

Diagnostic Pattern 4: Critical Health (Existential Crisis)

When:

  • Runway <3 months OR
  • Multiple critical failures (LTV:CAC <1:1, massive churn, no path to profitability)

Output:

"## 🚨🚨 Overall Health: Critical (Existential Crisis)

Your business is in survival mode. Immediate drastic action required.

[Similar structure to Pattern 3, but more urgent tone, shorter timelines, more drastic measures]

Immediate Actions (This Week):

  1. Emergency board meeting
  2. Fundraise immediately OR cut burn 50%+
  3. Stop all non-essential spend
  4. Fix top 1-2 critical issues (runway, unit economics)"

Examples

See examples/ folder. Mini examples below:

Example 1: Healthy Growth-Stage SaaS

Metrics:

  • ARR: $20M, Growth: 60% YoY
  • NRR: 115%, Churn: 2.5%
  • LTV:CAC: 4:1, Payback: 10 months
  • Rule of 40: 50, Runway: 18 months

Diagnosis: Healthy. Scale aggressively.


Example 2: Moderate Health (Retention Issue)

Metrics:

  • ARR: $15M, Growth: 40% YoY
  • NRR: 95%, Churn: 5%
  • LTV:CAC: 3.5:1, Payback: 12 months
  • Rule of 40: 38, Runway: 12 months

Diagnosis: Moderate. Fix retention before scaling further.


Example 3: Concerning (Multiple Issues)

Metrics:

  • ARR: $8M, Growth: 25% YoY (slowing)
  • NRR: 88%, Churn: 7% (increasing)
  • LTV:CAC: 1.8:1, Payback: 20 months
  • Rule of 40: 15, Runway: 8 months

Diagnosis: Concerning. Urgent action on retention and unit economics required.


Common Pitfalls

Pitfall 1: Celebrating Single Metrics

Symptom: "Revenue growing 50%!" (ignoring burn, churn, unit economics)

Consequence: Unsustainable growth. Scaling broken model.

Fix: Look at all four dimensions together.


Pitfall 2: Ignoring Stage-Specific Benchmarks

Symptom: "We're not profitable yet, is that bad?" (early-stage company)

Consequence: Misplaced worry. Early-stage should optimize for growth and unit economics, not profitability.

Fix: Use stage-appropriate benchmarks.


Pitfall 3: Focusing on Lagging Indicators Only

Symptom: "Churn is 5%, let's watch it"

Consequence: By the time lagging indicators (churn, NRR) show problems, it's late.

Fix: Track leading indicators (usage, engagement, onboarding completion).


Pitfall 4: Not Acting on Red Flags

Symptom: "NRR <100% for 3 quarters, but we'll fix it eventually"

Consequence: Problems compound. Becomes crisis.

Fix: Set clear timelines. If metric doesn't improve in X time, escalate.


Pitfall 5: Trying to Fix Everything at Once

Symptom: "Let's improve growth, retention, CAC, and efficiency simultaneously"

Consequence: Resources spread thin. Nothing improves.

Fix: Prioritize top 1-3 issues. Fix sequentially.


References

Related Skills

  • saas-revenue-growth-metrics — Detailed growth and retention metrics
  • saas-economics-efficiency-metrics — Detailed unit economics and capital efficiency
  • finance-metrics-quickref — Fast lookup for all metrics and benchmarks
  • feature-investment-advisor — Uses health diagnostic to inform feature priorities
  • acquisition-channel-advisor — Uses health diagnostic to inform channel priorities
  • finance-based-pricing-advisor — Uses health diagnostic to inform pricing decisions

External Frameworks

  • Bessemer Venture Partners: "SaaS Metrics 2.0" — Comprehensive benchmarks
  • David Skok: "SaaS Metrics" — Unit economics benchmarks
  • OpenView Partners: SaaS benchmarking reports
  • Battery Ventures: "State of SaaS" annual report

Provenance

  • Adapted from research/finance/Finance_QuickRef.md (Red flags table)
  • Decision frameworks from research/finance/Finance_For_PMs.Putting_It_Together_Synthesis.md
  • Benchmarks from research/finance/Finance for Product Managers.md

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更新日期2026年3月16日
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创建2026年3月16日
最后更新2026年3月16日