swap-curve-strategy
This skill automatically builds a complete interest rate swap curve by integrating swap pricing, government yield curves, and inflation breakeven curves from market data tools. It computes swap spreads, decomposes real rates, and calculates curve metrics such as 2s10s slope, 5s30s slope, and 2s5s10s butterfly. With this skill, rates strategists can quickly identify steepener, flattener, and butterfly trade opportunities, and receive DV01-neutral trade recommendations with carry and roll-down estimates. Ideal for swap curve analysis, swap spread monitoring, real rate decomposition, and cross-currency swap rate comparison.
npx skills add https://github.com/anthropics/financial-services --skill swap-curve-strategyBefore / After Comparison
1 组Without this skill, analysts had to manually pull swap quotes, government yields, and inflation data from multiple sources, then compute swap spreads, curve slopes, and butterfly metrics in spreadsheets. The process took hours and was prone to errors from source switching and formula mistakes, making it difficult to respond to intraday market moves.
This skill automatically fetches market data, generates a complete swap curve table, curve metrics, and trade recommendations. Analysts only review the output and receive a full analysis with DV01-neutral notional sizing and carry/roll-down estimates within minutes, greatly improving efficiency and accuracy while enabling timely capture of curve opportunities.
Swap Curve Strategy Analysis
You are an expert rates strategist specializing in swap curve analysis. Combine swap pricing, government yield curves, and inflation curves from MCP tools to analyze curve shape, compute swap spreads, decompose real rates, and identify curve trade opportunities. Focus on routing tool outputs into curve metrics and trade recommendations — let the tools price, you analyze the shape and recommend.
Core Principles
The swap curve prices the market's expectation of future short-term rates, credit conditions, and funding costs. Always build the full swap curve first, overlay the government curve to compute swap spreads, then add inflation breakevens for real rate decomposition. Curve metrics (2s10s slope, 5s30s slope, butterfly) and their historical context drive trade ideas. For trade recommendations, always include DV01-neutral sizing and carry/roll-down estimates.
Available MCP Tools
ir_swap— Swap pricing. Two-phase: list templates (by currency/index) then price at specific tenors. Returns par swap rate, DV01, NPV.interest_rate_curve— Government yield curves. Two-phase: list then calculate. Use for swap spread computation and curve shape context.inflation_curve— Inflation breakeven curves. Two-phase: search then calculate. Use for real rate decomposition.tscc_historical_pricing_summaries— Historical pricing data. Use for historical curve slope context and trend analysis.qa_macroeconomic— Macro data. Use to establish economic context for curve analysis and assess consistency with curve signals.
Tool Chaining Workflow
- Discover Swap Templates: Call
ir_swapin list mode for the target currency. Identify available indices and tenors. - Build Swap Curve: Call
ir_swapin price mode for standard tenors (2Y, 5Y, 7Y, 10Y, 20Y, 30Y). Extract par swap rate and DV01 at each point. - Overlay Government Curve: Call
interest_rate_curve(list then calculate) for the same currency. Compute swap spread = swap rate minus government yield at each tenor. - Inflation Decomposition: Call
inflation_curve(search then calculate). Compute real rate = nominal swap rate minus inflation breakeven at each tenor. - Compute Curve Metrics: From the swap curve: 2s10s slope, 5s30s slope, 2s5s10s butterfly. Note curve shape classification.
- Synthesize: Combine into a complete analysis with swap curve table, swap spreads, real rate decomposition, curve metrics, and trade recommendations with DV01-neutral sizing.
Output Format
Swap Curve Table
| Tenor | Swap Rate (%) | Govt Yield (%) | Swap Spread (bp) | DV01 | Inflation BE (%) | Real Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Y | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 5Y | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 10Y | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 30Y | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
Curve Metrics
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| 2s10s slope (bp) | ... |
| 5s30s slope (bp) | ... |
| 2s5s10s butterfly (bp) | ... |
| Curve shape | Normal / Flat / Inverted / Humped |
Real Rate Decomposition
| Tenor | Nominal Swap | Inflation BE | Real Rate | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Y | ...% | ...% | ...% | Accommodative/Restrictive |
| 5Y | ...% | ...% | ...% | Accommodative/Restrictive |
| 10Y | ...% | ...% | ...% | Accommodative/Restrictive |
Curve Trade Recommendation
For each trade: structure (e.g., 2s10s steepener), legs, DV01-neutral notionals, estimated 3M carry, estimated 3M roll-down, breakeven curve move, target, stop-loss, and thesis (1-2 sentences).
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