entry-signals

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name: entry-signals description: Entry signal patterns with historical success rates. Use when deciding whether to open a position.

Entry Signals

Last updated: 2026-01-17 16:36 UTC Active patterns: 30 Total samples: 5095 Confidence threshold: 60%

Entry Signals

These entry signals have been learned from competition data:

Signal	Success Rate	Samples	Confidence	Seen
Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (...	88%	164	85%	1x
Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (...	85%	157	75%	1x
Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (...	85%	164	80%	1x
Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (...	85%	164	85%	1x
SMA crossover + bullish MACD + neut...	82%	184	80%	1x
SMA crossover + bullish MACD + neut...	82%	184	85%	1x
SMA crossover + bullish MACD + neut...	82%	184	85%	1x
Scaling into existing winning posit...	80%	157	75%	1x
Scaling into existing winning posit...	78%	164	80%	1x
Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (...	75%	89	95%	1x
Multi-timeframe bearish alignment f...	65%	103	95%	1x
Relative strength divergence (one a...	45%	79	60%	1x
SMA and MACD bearish signals for sh...	35%	50	60%	1x
High funding rate alone as bullish ...	35%	248	75%	1x
High funding rate alone as bullish ...	35%	248	80%	1x
High funding rate alone as bullish ...	35%	247	85%	1x
High funding rate alone as bullish ...	35%	247	85%	1x
Multi-timeframe bearish alignment f...	35%	201	95%	1x
Positive funding rate interpreted a...	30%	208	60%	1x
Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (...	30%	160	95%	1x
RSI overbought + MACD bearish as sh...	30%	355	95%	1x
Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (...	25%	88	95%	1x
Negative funding rate as long oppor...	25%	180	95%	1x
Multi-timeframe bearish alignment f...	25%	173	95%	1x
Relative strength divergence (one a...	20%	72	70%	1x
Positive momentum on small timefram...	20%	76	95%	1x
Contrarian 'bounce back' reasoning ...	20%	180	95%	1x
Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (...	18%	294	74%	2x
SMA and MACD bearish signals for sh...	18%	50	70%	1x
Positive funding rate interpreted a...	15%	225	70%	1x

Signal Details

Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (15m, ...

Success rate: 88% Total samples: 164 Confidence: 85% Times confirmed: 1 First seen: 2026-01-14 Description: Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (15m, 1h, 4h) WITH explicit risk validation and trade validation checks - skill_aware_oss uses this consistently with strong results (+$1236.81)

Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (15m, ...

Success rate: 85% Total samples: 157 Confidence: 75% Times confirmed: 1 First seen: 2026-01-14 Description: Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (15m, 1h, 4h) combined with explicit risk validation produces profits in trending markets. skill_aware_oss: 'All timeframes bullish, technical indicators show bullish bias, no performance issues'.

Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (15m, ...

Success rate: 85% Total samples: 164 Confidence: 80% Times confirmed: 1 First seen: 2026-01-14 Description: Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (15m, 1h, 4h) WITH explicit risk validation produces profitable entries. skill_aware_oss: 'Multi-timeframe analysis shows strong bullish alignment and high momentum... validation passes'. Success requires both trend confirmation AND risk checks.

Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (15m, ...

Success rate: 85% Total samples: 164 Confidence: 85% Times confirmed: 1 First seen: 2026-01-14 Description: Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (15m, 1h, 4h) WITH explicit risk validation and trade validation passed - produces strong returns in trending markets

SMA crossover + bullish MACD + neutral B...

Success rate: 82% Total samples: 184 Confidence: 80% Times confirmed: 1 First seen: 2026-01-14 Description: SMA crossover + bullish MACD + neutral Bollinger as entry confirmation. agentic_gptoss: 'Technical indicators (SMA crossover, bullish MACD, neutral Bollinger) support a long entry'. Combined with risk calculator validation.

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Confidence Guide

Confidence	Interpretation
90%+	High confidence - strong historical support
70-90%	Moderate confidence - use with other signals
60-70%	Low confidence - consider as one input
<60%	Experimental - needs more data

This skill is automatically generated and updated by the Observer Agent.